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☆ Russia saw its oil revenue double in April despite Western sanctions
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Russia's oil revenue soared by 90% in April compared to the previous year, Bloomberg reported. The rise comes as sanctions have struggled to curb Russian energy flows since the war in Ukraine began. AdvertisementThe major funding sources for Vladimir Putin's invasion of Ukraine — the country's oil and gas revenues —doubled in April despite sanctions. Bloomberg data also indicates Moscow will see approximately $126 billion in oil and gas tax revenue in 2024. That said, Bloomberg reported that April's oil and gas revenue to Russia's budget still dropped by about 6.4% compared to March, primarily due to substantial subsidies to the nation's fuel producers.

Persons: —, Vladimir Putin's, Bloomberg Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Russia's Federal Tax Service, Bloomberg Economics Locations: Ukraine, Russia's, Russia, Moscow, China, India, Persian

☆ Trump’s bombardment of dishonesty: Fact-checking 32 of his false claims to Time
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-04 | by ( Daniel Dale | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +43 min

We’re paying for close to 100% of NATO.”Facts First: Trump’s claim is false. They don’t pay their bills.”Facts First: Trump’s claim is false. (It rose to about $314 billion in 2020, Trump’s last full year in office.) Facts First: Trump’s claim is false. Facts First: Trump’s claim that “nobody died other than Ashli” is false.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, “, William Barr, Bill Barr, Barr, Bill, I’m, ”, it’s, Biden, Joe Biden, Tamar Hermann, Hermann, Bill Clinton, “ Trump, ” Trump, …, National Guard Trump, I’ve, George Floyd, Tim Walz, Walz, Paul —, –, Erwan, George Washington, “ don’t, they’re, Stoltenberg, Trump’s, Lagadec, Marc Lipsitch, Barack Obama, European Union won’t, Cortellessa, “ Moody’s, Moody’s, Mark Zandi, Zandi, ’ ” Zandi, Joe Biden’s, rioter Ashli Babbitt, Brian Sicknick, Sicknick, Trump’s ‘, patriotically, ‘, patriotically ’, ” Nancy Pelosi, Nancy Pelosi, “ Nancy Pelosi, Pelosi, Christopher Miller, Miller, Eric Cortellessa, Alvin Bragg’s, Bragg, Matthew Colangelo, Colangelo, Alvin Bragg, ” Cortellessa, Hillary Clinton, —, Roe, Wade, Kimberly Mutcherson, “ Donald Trump’s, Maya Manian, Mary Ziegler, Davis, Ziegler, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Roe should’ve, ’, Crime Biden, don’t, “ Biden, he’s, James Biden, Jeff Asher, Asher, It’s, ” “, ” Asher Organizations: Washington CNN, Time, Trump, NATO, Capitol, Trump’s, Trade Center, didn’t, World Trade Center, Department, ISIS, CNN, Democratic, White House, White, South Korea Trump, Pentagon’s Defense Manpower Data, Biden Administration, Congressional Research Service, Israel, Israeli Democracy Institute, National Guard, Minnesota Democratic Gov, Minnesota National Guard, Guard, North Atlantic Treaty Organization, George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs, Transatlantic, for Disease Control, World Bank, Washington Post, Harvard, Harvard’s, National, Trump -, of Health, Human Services, Strategic, Biden, U.S . International Trade Commission, European, Benz, Volkswagen, BMW, European Union, US, European Automobile Manufacturers ’ Association, Bloomberg Economics, US Capitol Police, Capitol Police, “, Republican, Democratic Rep, National Guardsmen, District of Columbia National Guard, Army, Capitol Police Board, Senate, Justice Department, Pulitzer Foundation, Pulitzer, New York Times, Electoral, Democrat, ” Rutgers Law, American University, university’s Health, University of California, ”, Customs, Border Protection, Crime, Manchurian, Republicans, FBI Locations: “, New York City, Saudi, Florida, al Qaeda, New York, Texas, Mexico, South Korea, Trump , South Korea, South, Korea, Israel, Washington, Trump , Minneapolis, Minneapolis, Trump, Minnesota, St, United States, Germany, Brussels, Belgium, Harvard University, China, EU, DC, Trump’s, ”, York, Manhattan, York’s, Russia, That’s

☆ The Taiwan earthquake puts the vulnerability of the world's biggest chipmaker on full display
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The 7.2-magnitude earthquake shows the vulnerability of TSMC, the world's top chipmaker, to natural or geopolitical events. AdvertisementTaiwan experienced its worst earthquake in 25 years on Wednesday morning, disrupting the operations of companies including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, or TSMC. It's the world's largest chipmaker and is, by some estimates, the producer of 90% of the world's most advanced processor chips. Overall, a war over Taiwan could hit the world's economy to the tune of $10 trillion — or about 10% of global GDP — Bloomberg forecast. April 3, 6:41 p.m. SGT: An earlier version of this story misstated the magnitude of the earthquake that struck Taiwan.

Persons: —, TSMC Organizations: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Service, Bloomberg, — Bloomberg, Taiwan Stock Exchange Locations: Arizona, Japan, Germany, Taiwan, Hsinchu, Beijing, Washington, China

☆ Putin wants to crack down on immigration after the Moscow attack. That would make the nation's labor shortage even worse.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Russia is looking to crack down on migrants after the terrorist attack at a Moscow concert hall. But those measures could end up harming its economy, because there's already a shortage of available workers. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementRussia's immigration crackdown could end up delivering another serious blow to its economy, with the nation already suffering from a severe shortage of workers.

Persons: there's, — Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Business Locations: Russia, Moscow

☆ Russia is eyeing big tax hikes after this month's election to pay for the war in Ukraine
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Putin could raise taxes on high earners and companies after the country's election, Bloomberg reported. More tax revenue would pay for the war in Ukraine and fund some social programs. AdvertisementVladimir Putin could raise taxes after the presidential election this month to keep the money flowing to pay for the country's war in Ukraine. Russia's hefty spending on the Ukraine war since February 2022 is siphoning resources from the broader economy, with a 7.4% inflation rate and collapsing direct investment. Economists have warned that the country's economy cannot sustain the costs of either winning or losing the war in Ukraine.

Persons: Putin, —, Vladimir Putin, outflows Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Bloomberg Economics, Kremlin, Finance Ministry Locations: Ukraine, Russian

☆ How Russia has avoided bankrupting itself after 2 years of waging war in Ukraine
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-19 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

1: By waging war outside its own bordersOne critical reason Russia's economy is still ticking is because of the location of the war. AdvertisementConsider the impact of the war on the economies of both Russia and Ukraine. In 2022, the first year of the war, Russia's economy contracted 1.2%, according to official statistics. Russia was facing a demographic crisis with a declining population and falling fertility rate even before its war with Ukraine. 4: By stimulating and steadying its economy with subsidies and policiesGovernment subsidies, spending, and policies are also propping up Russia's economy.

Persons: —, Hassan Malik, Loomis Sayles, it's, Malik, Vladimir Putin's, Sergei Guriev, Malik isn't, Alex Isakov, Putin, Alexandra Prokopenko Organizations: Service, Business, Reuters, US, Exchange, European Bank for Reconstruction, Bloomberg Economics, Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies Locations: Russia, Moscow, Boston, Crimea, Ukraine, Russian, China, India, Austrian

☆ The Federal Reserve is fed up with data revisions
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said large revisions in data are tainting his assessments of how the economy is doing. Al Drago/Bloomberg/Getty ImagesThat’s well above the average month-over-month revised change in job totals from 1973 to the latest available revision data, according to the BLS. The official summary of what Fed officials said and discussed during their September meeting — also known as the Fed minutes — stated: “A few participants observed that there were challenges in assessing the state of the economy because some data continued to be volatile and subject to large revisions.”Spokespeople from the Federal Reserve declined to answer which data Fed officials were referring to. Frequent and large revisions to economic data are weighing on Federal Reserve decision-making, Governor Michelle Bowman said. “We want to be data dependent, but not data point dependent,” Williams said.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, it’s, Al Drago, ” Waller, ”, Michelle Bowman, —, Spokespeople, he’s, don’t, Erica Groshen, David Wilcox, Laura Kelter, Kelter, Groshen, Wilcox, John Williams, ” Williams, “ Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal Reserve, ”, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, Fed, Ohio Bankers League, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Department, Census, Labor, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Employment, CNN, Wilcox . New York Fed Locations: New York, Wilcox . New

☆ Russia has burned through almost half of the liquid reserves in its national wealth fund as it bleeds money amid the war in Ukraine
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Read previewThe stash of liquid assets in Russia's national wealth fund has fallen over 44% since Moscow invaded Ukraine, according to a Bloomberg report of Russian finance ministry data on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the national wealth fund's total holdings tumbled 12% over the same period. The massive slump in the national wealth fund's liquid assets came as its holdings in Russian companies and in infrastructure bonds surged by 2 trillion rubles, per Bloomberg calculations. AdvertisementRussia's finance ministry also used around 3 trillion rubles from the fund to cover its budget deficit in 2023 after it doubled defense spending in the same period. Alex Isakov, an economist at Bloomberg Economics, said Russia's national wealth fund's liquid assets will last for another year or two if the country's oil export prices fall below $50 a barrel.

Persons: —, Alex Isakov Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business, National, Bloomberg Economics Locations: Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, Russia's, Israel

☆ A war over Taiwan would be even more damaging to the US economy than COVID was, Bloomberg forecasts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-09 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A war over Taiwan could wipe out 6.7% from the US economy in its first year, according to a Bloomberg Economics analysis. AdvertisementThe US economy could take a major hit if war breaks out over Taiwan, according to a Bloomberg Economics analysis published on Tuesday. US GDP could take a 6.7% hit in the first year of conflict if Washington gets drawn into the war, Bloomberg forecasts. AdvertisementOverall, a war over Taiwan could hit the world's economy to the tune of $10 trillion — or about 10% of global GDP — Bloomberg forecasts. Bloomberg Economics' analysis is based on geopolitical considerations and economic modeling.

Persons: —, Xi Jinping, William Lai Ching, Lai, Vishnu Varathan Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Democratic Progressive Party, Mizuho Bank Locations: Taiwan, China, Washington, South Korea, Japan, Beijing, Asia

☆ Target CEO signals a halt to revenge spending and delays in impulse buys
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Dominick Reuter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementTarget's CEO said Wednesday that customers are continuing to make more tradeoffs in their family budgets and delay some spending. The lower price-points are meant to inspire more of the unplanned purchases that make a Target run a Target run. "This year, we've seen more and more consumers delaying their spending until the last moment," Cornell said. "It all puts pressure on discretionary spending."

Persons: —, Brian Cornell, Christina Hennington, we've, Cornell, Anna Wong Organizations: Service, Bloomberg Economics, Target

☆ Taylor Swift achieves billionaire status amid monumental Eras tour
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( Erin Snodgrass | Sebastian Cahill | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Taylor Swift is a billionaire, according to a Bloomberg News analysis. The pop star's record-breaking Eras Tour helped cement her status among a rare economic class, according to the analysis. Swift is one of the few people to reach billionaire status almost exclusively from her music. AdvertisementAdvertisementAfter nearly two decades of monumental music-making, Taylor Swift has officially built a billion-dollar empire, according to a Bloomberg News analysis published Thursday. Swift is one of the few people to reach billionaire status almost exclusively from her music and performances, the outlet reported, citing publicly disclosed and traceable assets and earnings.

Persons: Taylor Swift, Swift, —, Sam Bankman, Fried's, Larry David, Shaquille O'Neal Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Bloomberg Economics, Forbes, Dassault

☆ A bigger war in Israel would send oil prices skyrocketing and hurt the economy's chances of avoiding a recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Cork Gaines | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The impact on oil prices would be enormous with one prediction of $150 per barrel. A surge in oil prices could undo the fight against inflation and cause prices to soar again. International Monetary Fund managing director Kristalina Georgieva expressed concern on Thursday over how global oil markets would be impacted by the war. If that were to happen, they predict that oil prices would skyrocket more than 70% to $150 per barrel from just under $90 we have now. An estimated 20-30% of global oil supply passes through the Strait of Hormuz, which is controlled by Iran.

Persons: —, Kristalina Georgieva, Steven Mnuchin, That's, Mnuchin, Mustafa Hassona, there's, Jerome Powell, Liu Jie Organizations: Service, Hamas, Monetary Fund, Bloomberg Economics, Bloomberg, US, Fox Business, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Biden, US Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Strategic Petroleum Reserve Locations: Israel, Iran, Hormuz, Iraq, Kuwait, Abu Nasr, Gaza City, Ukraine, Washington ,, Xinhua

☆ Taylor Swift gives the US economy another boost as "The Eras Tour" film breaks box-office records on its opening weekend
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

"Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour" broke a concert-film box-office record on its opening weekend. The movie pulled in $95 million to $97 million worth of ticket sales, AMC Theatres said. Swift’s tour has given the US economy a big boost in 2023, with even the Federal Reserve noticing its impact. "The Eras Tour" could also break records for the strongest October debut for any film. Its currently neck-and-neck with "Joker", which pulled in $96.2 million worth of ticket sales on its opening weekend back in 2019.

Persons: Taylor Swift, —, Justin Bieber's Organizations: AMC Theatres, Reserve, Service, Federal, Bloomberg Economics, AMC, Hollywood Locations: Philadelphia, Monday's premarket

☆ Taylor Swift, 'Barbenheimer' and Beyoncé all likely fueled a US growth surge last quarter, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

He said Taylor Swift, "Barbenheimer", and Beyoncé had all helped drive growth. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe economy likely surged over the third quarter – and you can thank Taylor Swift, Beyoncé, and the "Barbenheimer" craze for that, according to ING. "We can't argue against [the latest payroll numbers] given the strength we will likely see in third-quarter GDP," he said. AdvertisementAdvertisement"We wouldn't be surprised to see a 4% annualized expansion with Taylor Swift, Beyoncé and Barbenheimer helping to give growth a kick higher," Knightley added. Eras and Beyoncé's "Renaissance World Tour" are expected to add a combined $5.4 billion to the US's third-quarter GDP, according to an estimate from Bloomberg Economics.

Persons: James Knightley, Taylor Swift, Beyoncé, —, September's, Knightley, Oppenheimer Organizations: ING, Service, Gross, Product, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg Economics Locations: Philadelphia

☆ The US economy is extremely fragile right now and could tip into a recession within months, according to a new model
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Cork Gaines | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

A new Bloomberg model shows a better-than-50% chance a recession could begin this year. According to Anna Wong and Tom Orlik, two chief economists at Bloomberg Economics, the model works "fairly well" at matching previous calls of recession. AdvertisementAdvertisementAccording to the model, the US could declare a recession in 2024 following a possible economic dip in the last months of 2023. Other factors not out of the woodsAnd then there are the maybes: the United Auto Workers strike and a potential government shutdown. If the model is correct, there is already a good chance a recession may hit.

Persons: —, Anna Wong, Tom Orlik, Mario Tama, Taylor Swift, Jeff Kravitz, Debbie Downer, Paul Sancya, Kevin McCarthy, It'll Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, National Bureau of Economic Research, Bloomberg Economics, San Francisco Fed, United Auto Workers, Victoria Hall, Ford Michigan Assembly Plant, GM, Ford, AP Locations: Santa Clara , California, Wayne, Mich

☆ Impact of 'funflation' to continue beyond Taylor Swift and Beyoncé, says Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Cork Gaines | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Bank of America predicts people will continue to spend big on live entertainment. AdvertisementAdvertisementMaybe the epic summer of Taylor Swift, Beyoncé, and "Barbenheimer" was just the beginning and not just a one-off outlier. On the surface, this contradicts some earlier warnings that while entertainment spending did prop up the economy, it would be fleeting. Bank of America did warn in its report that there is some risk in betting on "funflation" to continue. But if Bank of America's predictions are correct, the economy may feel the effects of entertainment spending despite the diminished sparkle of the performers.

Persons: Taylor Swift, —, Beyoncé, Kevin Mazur, Grace Smith, Swift Organizations: of America, Service, Bank of America, Force, Bloomberg, MediaNews, Denver, Getty, Bloomberg Economics Locations: Stockholm, Denver, Swift

☆ Hot girl summer is about to come to a crashing halt, and winter is coming for women
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-19 | by ( Emily Canal | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

This year's hot girl summer was led by the women who propped up the US economy. The aid has been funding childcare for the past two years, which helps keep many moms working. The study polled 3,661 women and 1,144 men between November 19, 2020, and December 17, 2020. Simultaneously, if childcare centers closed, working women would bear the brunt — in a 2020 report, the National Women's Law Center found that 95% of childcare workers were women . AdvertisementAdvertisementParents, experts, and lawmakers have previously told Insider how vital childcare is to working parents.

Persons: Taylor Swift, Barbie, Christopher Nolan's, Oppenheimer, doesn't, Annie E, Lisa Hamilton, who've, Sen, Patty Murray Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, of Labor Statistics, American, Century Foundation, Labor Department, Family Foundation, National Women's Law Center, Casey Foundation Locations: Wall, Silicon, America, it's

☆ Cocaine is about surpass oil as Colombia's top export as revenues near $20 billion
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Cocaine is set to become Colombia's top export this year, edging out oil products, according to a note from Bloomberg Economics. Revenue derived from Colombia's cocaine business is nearing $20 billion, ahead of the country's $19.1 billion in 2022 oil exports. Cocaine production in Colombia is at its highest level since 1991 amid lenient policies from Colombian President Gustavo Petro. Fast forward to 2022, and Colombia's cocaine industry generated an estimated $18.2 billion in export revenues, just behind oil export revenue of $19.1 billion. With the country's oil exports dropping 30% in the first half of this year, and its cocaine industry still growing steadily, Bloomberg estimates that 2023 will be the year when Colombia's cocaine revenues outpace revenues from oil.

Persons: Gustavo Petro, Felpi Hernandez, That's, Hernandez Organizations: Bloomberg Economics, Get, Service, Bloomberg Locations: Colombia, Colombian, Wall, Silicon

☆ The US consumer has been holding up the economy this summer by splurging on movies and concerts — but this may not last, a new survey indicates
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The strong consumer spending propping up the US economy may not last, a Bloomberg survey found. Over half of the respondents said they think US personal consumption will shrink in early 2024. High interest rates and a drawdown of pandemic-era savings could hit consumer spending. Since consumer spending accounts for about 70% of the US economy, any changes in the measure are a big deal. AdvertisementAdvertisementMeanwhile, JP Morgan predicted in an August 17 note that the stock market is set to fall as US consumer spending softens.

Persons: Jim Chanos, Anna Wong, James Knightley, David Rosenberg, JP Morgan Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Wall, Bloomberg Economics, ING, Federal Reserve Bank of San Locations: Wall, Silicon, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

☆ China may never become the world's biggest economy and has thrown out its old playbook, Mohamed El-Erian says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

It's highly unlikely that China will implement large-scale stimulus, Mohamed El-Erian said. Without it, markets shouldn't expect China's previous rate of growth to come back, he wrote in the Financial Times. "Despite what many may continue to tell you, it is no longer a given that China will become the world's largest economy." After China lifted pandemic restrictions late last year, the economy saw a brief rebound early this year. Despite what many may continue to tell you, it is no longer a given that China will become the world's largest economy."

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, That's, — Organizations: Financial Times, Service, supercomputing, Bloomberg Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, Beijing, El

☆ Opinion | The American Renaissance Is Already at Hand
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( David Brooks | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

A forecast from Bloomberg Economics now projects that the size of the Chinese economy will not successfully surpass the size of the American economy — despite its vastly greater population. But the core problems are endemic to the regime: Centralized authoritarian control is incompatible with a wide-open, innovative, free-flowing modern economy. Open information flow is crucial to any nation; when the state suppresses information unflattering to the regime, then everything is bound to sink into mediocrity. Since late 2021, investment in the construction of manufacturing facilities has more than doubled. Chips, electric vehicles, renewable energy sources and batteries are being manufactured in places like Michigan, Kentucky, Minnesota and Arizona.

Organizations: Bloomberg Economics, . Locations: China, America, Midwest, Michigan , Kentucky, Minnesota, Arizona

☆ Insider Today: IPOs' make-or-break moment
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Speaking of fighting, the IPO market has been KO'd since 2022. But that could change with one company's upcoming public debut. Even if it slightly misses those numbers, it'll still be the largest public debut in the US since Rivian's IPO in late 2021. The stock market recovered in record time, but then something else held up IPOs: VC money. Tech has already led the stock market for about a decade — starting when Apple became the biggest company in the world.

Persons: Mark Zuckerberg, Phil Rosen, IPOs, Andrew Burton, Brent, Gabe Ginsberg, Tony Avelar, Mustafa Suleyman, It'll, Arantza Pena Popo, Insider's Eliza Relman, Vivek Murthy, Lovell, Christian Lovell, Freddie, Lil Wayne, Buster's, Elaine LaLanne, She's, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Service, Apple, Publishing, Getty, Bloomberg, Cash, Google, Nvidia, Getty Images, Tech, US, BMI Locations: Wall, Silicon, British, Russia, Saudi Arabia, China, London, New York City, San Diego, New York

☆ China may now never take the US's crown as the world's largest economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

China may now never become the world's largest economy, according to Bloomberg Economics. Forecasters expect its GDP to briefly pass the US's in the mid-2040s, before "falling back behind". Beijing has struggled to revive growth and shore up its crisis-hit property sector this year. "The post-Covid rebound has run out of steam, reflecting a deepening property slump and fading confidence in Beijing's management of the economy. The economists – who previously saw China overtaking the US in the 2030s – believe that GDP growth in the world's most-populous country will slow from its current level of over 6% to just 1% by 2050, revised down from an earlier prediction of 1.6%.

Persons: China's, Joe Biden, – Organizations: Bloomberg Economics, Service, Bloomberg Locations: China, Beijing, Wall, Silicon

☆ Taylor Swift, Beyonce, and 'Barbenheimer' may boost US GDP by $8.5 billion
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Joseph Wilkins | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Taylor Swift, Beyoncé, and the "Barbenheimer" phenomenon have given a sizable boost to consumer spending this year. Collectively, they may add an impressive $8.5 billion to the US economy in the third quarter, per Bloomberg. High-profile concert tours by Taylor Swift and Beyoncé, along with the twin-movie phenomenon that's come to be known as 'Barbenheimer', are projected to add $8.5 billion to US output in the third quarter, according to Bloomberg Economics. The Bloomberg economists warn, however, that the Hollywood boost for the economy may be short-lived. AdvertisementAdvertisementNeither Beyonce nor Swift have any concerts planned in the US in the last quarter of the year, and the economists described the success of 'Barbenheimer' as a "once-in-a-blue moon" event.

Persons: Taylor Swift, Barbie, Oppenheimer, Anna Wong, Eliza Winger, Swift, – Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Bloomberg Economics, Revenue, Federal Reserve, Hollywood Locations: Wall, Silicon, Montenegro, Barbados

☆ Angry investors protested outside a Chinese shadow bank that missed payments. The rare public show of dissent point to serious trouble in China amid debt and housing distress.
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Angry investors in China protested outside a shadow bank after it missed payments on investment products. This rare show of public anger points to serious trouble amid debt and housing distress in the world's second-largest economy. The protest in Beijing came after Zhongrong International missed payments on dozens of investment products since late July. Zhongrong is the ninth largest trust in China, with 600 billion Chinese yuan, or $82 billion, worth of assets under management. Both events are highly worrisome, because China's trust companies sell investment or trust products to corporate and wealthy clients.

Persons: —, Zhongrong Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Enterprise, KPMG, Zhongrong International Trust, International Trust, Zhongrong International Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, Beijing, China's

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